I'm a little late, but I feel that improved my odds. It must be the pressure. Anyway, this year I tried to find a balance between rationality and wishful thinking, which seems to work about as well for me as either strict pragmatism or pure idealism by themselves.
I don't have any money riding on this (in fact, I have it being obliterated in the second round) but I'll feel very proud if it works out.
Go big fat red star!